2025 U.S. Open odds: Surprising picks, weekend predictions from golf model that nailed 15 majors

The 2025 U.S. Open heads for the weekend on Saturday morning at Oakmont Country Club, and there are some surprising names atop the leaderboard. Americans Sam Burns and J.J. Spaun lead the way at 3 under and 2 under, respectively. Viktor Hovland of Norway is the only other golfer in the 2025 U.S. Open field to go below par through two rounds at 1 under. Other notables within striking distance are Adam Scott (E), Brooks Koepka (+2) and Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa and Jon Rahm, all at 3 over. A few golfers finished up Round 2 early Saturday morning after lightning suspended play late on Friday, and the first tee times in Round 3 are expected to come around 9 a.m. ET on Saturday.

The weekend 2025 U.S. Open odds via FanDuel Sportsbook list Burns, who shot a 65 in Round 2, as the +330 favorite (risk $100 to win $330), with Hovland at +550. Spaun (+700) and Scheffler (+800) are the only other golfers priced lower than +1000. Before locking in any 2025 U.S. Open weekend picks, be sure to see the 2025 U.S. Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 15 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth Masters in a row), this year's PGA Championship and last year's U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen big returns. Also, see the latest DraftKings promo code and FanDuel promo code if you're a new user looking for even more value.

Now that two rounds are in the books at the 2025 U.S. Open, SportsLine simulated the final two rounds 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2025 U.S. Open leaderboard .

Top 2025 U.S. Open predictions

One surprise the model is predicting for the 2025 U.S. Open: Spaun, who is in solo second place and has the third-lowest odds at +700, stumbles over the weekend and falls all the way out of the top 5. The 34-year-old American has virtually no track record of success in major play.

He's never finished inside the top 20 at a major and this is his first made cut at the U.S. Open. There were also some concerning signs in Round 2 as he bogeyed three of his final four holes. The model isn't confident that he's a legitimate win and contender and recommends fading him in outright and in U.S. Open prop betting. See who else to fade at SportsLine .

Another surprise: Rahm, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2021 U.S. Open champion is looking for his third career major after winning the Masters in 2023.

Overall, the U.S. Open has been one of Rahm's best majors, as he's had four top-15 finishes in the past five years and hasn't finished worse than T23 since 2018. The model has identified him as a top-three contender on its projected leaderboard, making him a solid choice for U.S. Open outright bets and a top-5 bet, which returns +300. See who else to back at SportsLine .

How to make 2025 U.S. Open picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make surprising runs on Saturday and Sunday, including one monster longshot that returns higher than 30-1. You can only see the model's U.S. Open picks here .

So, who will win the U.S. Open 2025, and which longshots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 U.S. Open odds below and then Visit SportsLine to see the projected 2025 U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 15 golf majors, including four straight Masters. .

2025 U.S. Open odds, weekend contenders

See full U.S. Open 2025 picks, best bets and predictions here .

Sam Burns +330

Viktor Hovland +550

J.J. Spaun +700

Scottie Scheffler +800

Ben Griffin +1100

Adam Scott +1600

Brooks Koepka +2200

Jon Rahm +2500

Russell Henley +3000

Si Woo Kim +3500

Tyrrell Hatton +4000

Collin Morikawa +4000

Keegan Bradley +5500

Victor Perez +5500

Rory McIlroy +6000

Jason Day +6500

Thomas Detry +6500

Thriston Lawrence +8000

Carlos Ortiz +8000

Cameron Young +11000

Daniel Berger +11000

Xander Schauffele +11000

Jordan Spieth +11000

Robert MacIntyre +11000

Max Greyserman +11000

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +11000

Taylor Pendrith +12000

Aaron Rai +12000

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000

Sam Stevens +12000

Denny McCarthy +15000

Emiliano Grillo +15000

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